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Why President Trump won over independents in public opinion polls even though he struggled against them in the primaries
Steve Kornacki
Although Mr. Trump has comfortably won the primaries and virtually secured the Republican nomination for president, the general interpretation of the results is that Mr. Trump has shown serious weaknesses even among independents. It is said that this foreshadows the disastrous outcome of the general election.
But there’s a problem. Public opinion polls for the general election reveal a very different picture among independent voters. And if you take a closer look at all the other data we have about the 2024 presidential race, you’ll see why Trump’s independent numbers in the primaries were lower and his numbers better in the general election polls. You can see whether your grades completely match the following results. each other. Simply put, these are two very different groups of voters.
Read the full text here.
Rep. Tlaib sends robocall encouraging protest vote in Michigan
zoe richards
Ali Vitali
Democratic Rep. Rashida Tlaib today sent out a robocall to 87,000 people in her home state of Michigan, urging them to vote “irresponsibly” in the primary.
According to the memo, Tlaib called on voters to “vote a protest vote to send a clear message to President Biden: change course on Gaza, pursue peace, save lives, and make Biden a white man.” “This is to send a clear message that he will regain the trust of the coalition of voters who led him to become a candidate.” House of 2020. ”
The call was made in conjunction with the progressive political organizing group Our Revolution.
Biden faces increasing pressure from progressives to seek a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war. He said yesterday that he hoped a temporary ceasefire could be reached at the start of the Ramadan period, which begins on March 10.
Tlaib, the only Palestinian-American congressman, came under fire last year for his comments and actions in response to the Oct. 7 attack by Hamas.
Michigan has been ahead of politics lately.
Henry J. Gomez
One thing to consider tonight to see how Biden will respond to Michigan’s “non-commitment” is that Michigan has had a way of predicting its political future for the past decade I’m saying that.
Sen. Bernie Sanders’ unexpected victory over Hillary Clinton in the 2016 Michigan Democratic primary was a harbinger of President Trump’s victory in Michigan that fall, a state that had supported Barack Obama. It was also a sign that the Midwestern states were trending in the opposite direction.
The election of Gretchen Whitmer as governor in 2018 signaled that Democrats were in retreat. In 2022, Michigan voters made Michigan one of the first states in the post-Roe v. Wade era to constitutionally protect the right to abortion. Whitmer won a second term that year after winning the so-called “trifecta,” giving Democrats control of the executive, legislative and judicial branches of state government for the first time since the 1980s.
But for Michigan Democrats, there is one nagging concern about Biden. Public opinion polls in the country show him trailing slightly behind President Trump in the general election. These concerns include issues of intense local interest, from challenges facing the auto industry to anger over Biden’s handling of the Israel-Hamas war. Then there are the constant questions about Biden’s age.
State Sen. Mallory McMorrow, a rising Democratic star in Michigan, spoke favorably of Biden in an interview with NBC News last week, while also acknowledging that the age factor “cannot be ignored.”
“You’re going to have to choose between an old man who makes very similar gaffes and is an outspoken authoritarian when he returns to the White House, or an old man who makes a lot of gaffes but is still a mean person through and through.” McMorrow said Trump and Biden are “decent human beings who surround themselves with…the youngest, most diverse Cabinet I’ve ever seen.”
“If I were him — and I’m not, but if it were me — I would draw that sharp contrast,” McMorrow added, referring to Biden. “Donald Trump is someone who has been telling people, ‘Only I can do this.’ And the contrast on the Democratic side is that we are a team. Michigan is a great example of that, with 40 For the first time in years, there are three Democrats, a success story that the president and the party can rely on to show what is possible.”
No Labels launches TV ad pressuring House Republicans for border deal
Bourne Hillyard
No Labels, a political group aiming to run for president in 2024, will air a new TV ad across the country on Wednesday, but rather than targeting the presidential race, the group is targeting Republican House Speaker Mike. They are putting pressure on Johnson to call for a vote. The House has introduced a bipartisan package that would provide funding for U.S. border security and financial aid to Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan.
“Contact Speaker Johnson and tell him to allow you to vote,” the ad’s narrator says of the proposed Border Defense and Defense Act.
A No Labels spokesperson said the group is spending $750,000 to air the spot.It will also be broadcast in Washington DC.
Prime Minister Johnson has so far refused to bring the bill to a vote, and has not brought a separate $95 billion bill for aid to Israel and Ukraine to the House floor that was passed by the Senate. .
The ad claims the bill addresses “America’s bipartisan checklist,” and mentions funding for additional border security and aid to Ukraine and Israel. This article includes statements from Rep. Jared Golden, D-Maine, and Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick, Republican of Pennsylvania, members of the House Problem Solvers Caucus. Two members are co-sponsors of this package.
The ad says: The good news: There’s a bipartisan group in Congress with a new plan to put America’s resources where they’re needed. ”
Detroit man says he’s voting ‘irresponsibly’ because of Biden’s age, not because of Israel-Hamas war
Alex Tabet
Marvel Miller, 67, said she voted “Irresponsible Today” not because she’s angry at the Biden administration’s handling of the Israel-Hamas war, but because she feels the president is too old and incompetent. He said it was because he was there.
“Biden is a little too old. Trump is too far-right extreme,” Miller said, noting that Biden is confusing his words about why he thinks Biden is too old for the presidency. . He also cited President Trump’s abortion policies, calling them too extreme.
Miller said he believes people support Trump because of his entertainment value, not necessarily because of his policies. He also said the Israel-Hamas war had nothing to do with his “irresponsible” vote. He’s just frustrated by the choices in front of him.
If Trump and Biden were the only options in November, Miller said he would vote “irresponsibly” again.
Gallup poll: Immigration is top of concern for Americans
Rob Weil
Inflation fears recede and immigration tops the list of the most pressing issues facing Americans, according to the latest Gallup poll.
According to the Gallup poll, 28% of respondents in February cited immigration as their top concern, compared to just 20% the previous month, surpassing “government” as the top issue.
A Gallup poll found that Republicans were largely responsible for increased concerns over immigration in February, with 57% of Republicans citing immigration as their top issue, up from 37% in January. . Among independents, 22% say immigration is the most important issue, up from 16% in January. There was no significant change among Democrats (9% in January and 10% in February).
Meanwhile, 11% of Americans say inflation is their biggest concern, down from 13% last month. This reflects other data showing that the pace of price growth in the economy is slowing. Inflation was the fourth most cited concern in the monthly survey.
Concerns about the “general economy” were the third most cited issue, with a response rate of 12%, unchanged from last month.
32% of Americans say the economy is improving, the highest number Gallup has measured since September 2021. Views on the economy remain highly polarized by party, with Democrats’ economic confidence level at +24, compared to -63 for Republicans and -29 for independents.
Why there could be another election week in November
Jane C. Timm
adam edelman
After taking days to declare the 2020 presidential election, many states are rolling out mail-in voting with the goal of getting results faster and cutting off oxygen to conspiracy theories that spread while waiting for results. The processing method was reviewed.
Election officials are optimistic that vote counting in 2024 will go more smoothly without the many challenges the 2020 pandemic election posed to officials. But a close race could again force Americans to wait well past Election Day in a handful of key battleground states to find out who will become president.
Officials in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, two of the closest states in the 2020 election, will still process mail-in ballots by Election Day despite efforts by state legislatures to change rules. I can’t. That means those states could once again face a huge pile of absentee ballots that will have to be sorted out along with in-person voting on Nov. 5.
Changes to North Carolina’s voter ID laws and early voting procedures could also delay the count in North Carolina, a battleground state that leans Republican at the presidential level.
Experts say longer wait times for results are not a sign of a problem, but results could be that far away, as Donald Trump and his allies did in 2020. He warns.
Read the full text here.
‘Committed’ voters cite Biden’s Israel policy and ‘desire for peace’
jillian frankel
BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHIP, Michigan — Laila, who lives in suburban Oakland County, Michigan, came to vote today with her mother and was among those who voted for the “non-commitment” option to protest Biden’s support for Israel.
She hopes the protest vote in today’s primary will put pressure on the Biden administration to publicly support a ceasefire in Israel’s war against Hamas.
“I think what we came to vote today and voted for was a desire for peace and a desire to put pressure on the current government for a ceasefire, because we, regardless of our faith or race, , because I want peace for everyone in the world,’ ” Raila said. “So I think it’s a disaster for Arab Americans and everyone who supports peace that we can go to vote today.”
NBC News
Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson assured reporters that primary voting in the state is “progressing well,” and raised the possibility that some Democrats may choose “noncommit” on their ballots. Answered questions about being there.
Gaza conflict and candidate’s age spur Michigan protest vote
jillian frankel
Gabe Gutierrez
Shaquille Brewster
Several voters at Dearborn High School in the Arab-American enclave of Dearborn, Michigan, told NBC News this morning that they voted “irresponsibly” to send a message to the Biden administration. They expressed dissatisfaction with the regime’s failure to seek a ceasefire in Gaza.
One voter told NBC News, “I feel like he speaks and acts as if he’s listening to us, but I don’t believe he’s hearing us based on his actions.” Told.
Additionally, some voters who consider themselves independents said they voted for Nikki Haley this morning because they were concerned about the ages of Biden and Trump.
“They’re too old. We need a younger generation that thinks differently than the older generation,” said another voter.
Meanwhile, a significant number of Hailey voters in the Grand Rapids suburb say they voted in protest of Trump, with some considering themselves closer to Democrats and others to independents and moderate Republicans. Some people think it’s close.
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