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Critics are quick to poke holes in Meloni’s influence on the world stage. Despite some positive headlines, Italy’s economy is stuck in second gear, reducing Rome’s credibility for key policy decisions. And despite the current dire state of Franco-German relations, structurally speaking, Paris and Berlin remain the pacesetters of European policy, with Poland under Prime Minister Donald Tusk playing an increasingly important role. .
Italian opponents have also warned that Meloni’s government is using its campaign against surrogacy to quietly violate LGBTQ+ rights. “As expected from the conservative brand of ‘God, Fatherland, Family,’ Meloni and his party have long been hostile to promoting LGBTQ+ equality in the realm of family life and same-sex parenthood.” “We have been passionately opposed to this,” said Andrea Carlo. The British-Italian researcher wrote an op-ed for POLITICO last year.
In November, American voters will choose between incumbent Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. If the former wins, Meloni could continue a relationship that both the White House and his own office define as “positive.” If it’s Trump, she could benefit from months of separate efforts to win MAGA rights and become a less toxic European ally than Hungary’s Viktor Orbán. There is. To use a very imperfect analogy, it’s like Maggie Thatcher to Ronald Reagan.
“She is by far the closest politician in Italy to Trump,” Italian political analyst Marco Damilano said. “And at the European level, her government will be in the best position to forge a relationship with the Trump administration.”

Despite his recent election defeat in Sardinia, Meloni’s approval rating remains at 41 percent, an unusually high level for an Italian prime minister in his second year in office. The question is what to do with her political capital if Trump returns to the White House and she becomes the High Priestess of the European right, and whether she will remain loyal to the pro-Ukraine, pro-NATO camp.
So far, Meloni has proven particularly adept at the Italian diplomatic tradition of playing both sides.Rather than be Europe’s bogey woman Ara Mr. Orban and Mr. Meloni have remained in the tent for the past two years, even as they have increased their influence over EU policy.
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