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Donald Trump defeated Nikki Haley in his home state of South Carolina on Saturday, giving him an overwhelming lead that the former president’s controversies and legal troubles have not eroded, according to an exclusive Suffolk University/USA TODAY poll. It turned out that he had.
Among people most likely to vote in the state’s Republican primary on February 24, Trump leads Haley by nearly 2-1, 63% to 35%.
“The story of this poll is the depth of strength that President Trump has shown,” said David Paleologos, director of the Center for Political Research at Suffolk University. Former presidents have a double-digit advantage among men and women, all age groups, and both high school and college graduates.
Haley is hoping for a strong showing in South Carolina, where she has twice elected governor. But Paleologos points out that Trump’s current lead is larger than his 19-point victory over Sen. Marco Rubio in his home state of Florida in 2016. (Trump was not a Florida resident at the time, but declared his residency in Florida in 2019.)
The survey was conducted Thursday through Sunday by landline and cell phone among 500 South Carolina voters who said they were “very likely” to vote in the primary or had already voted early. Ta. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.
Preparing to vote: See who’s running for president and compare their positions on important issues with our voter guide
Military families salute Trump
President Trump sparked a controversy earlier this month when he mocked Haley’s husband, Michael Haley, a National Guard soldier who is currently on a year-long deployment to Africa. “What happened to her husband? Where is he?” he asked suggestively at a rally in Conway, South Carolina. “He’s gone.”
Hailey fired back on social media, saying, “Michael is being sent to serve our country and that’s something you all know nothing about.”
Still, Trump leads Haley 65% to 33% among voters with military families, slightly wider than his support among voters without military family members.
South Carolina voters like Nikki Haley, but they like Donald Trump even more
Trump and Haley both enjoy net favorability among primary voters, but the former president is more popular (64% to 25%) than the former governor (47% to 36%). is high.
Trump is also likely to convert favorable opinions into primary votes. 90% of those who have a favorable view of him plan to vote for the former president. In contrast, 65% of those who have a favorable opinion of Haley plan to vote for her.
Haley holds a large lead among people who identify as liberals or moderates (59% to 38%), but a narrow lead among first-time Republican primary voters. (51% vs. 49%).
His biggest advantage over Trump is 63% to 37%, with some saying the most important issue is the future of democracy.
However, only 13% of those surveyed said democracy was their biggest concern. Immigration and border security topped the list at 42%.
These voters support Trump by a nearly 4-to-1 margin.
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