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Europe

Beyond Ukraine: How Russia seeks to expand its geopolitical influence around the world

thedailyposting.comBy thedailyposting.comApril 14, 2024No Comments

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New Delhi: Despite the continuing conflict in Ukraine, Russia is asserting its influence, adopting unconventional war tactics to challenge adversaries and launching destabilizing operations globally. is actively expanding.

A recent report by the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) revealed that Russia has expanded its geopolitical reach, including covert operations in Europe, sending mercenaries across Africa, and supporting Muslim communities in Central Asia and Europe. It outlines the multi-pronged approach it is taking to expand.

The RUSI report reveals the dual nature of Russia’s military strategy. “The traditional threat of escalation is what deters retaliation against non-traditional activities, thereby expanding Russia’s range of escape,” the report said. According to a report in Insider magazine, this strategy involves not only direct military actions like those seen in Ukraine, but also a variety of covert and indirect measures to destabilize the region and divert international attention and resources. It is also said to be focusing on “gray zone” warfare, including “gray zone” warfare.

According to RUSI, destabilizing Africa and shifting Western focus is seen by the Kremlin as a strategic step to ease military operations in Ukraine. According to Insider reports, Russian influence tools extend to promoting political polarization, manipulating social factions, and potentially resorting to violence to escalate the crisis to the point of destabilization. It is said that he is working on it.

Historic attempts by Russian intelligence to influence political outcomes include an attempted coup in Montenegro in 2016 aimed at preventing the country from joining NATO, and inciting protests in Moldova in 2022. This includes efforts to These actions are indicative of Russia’s longstanding tactics of trying to sway political dynamics in favor of pro-Russian sentiment.

Despite these ambitious efforts, Russia’s track record is fraught with failures, which have been attributed to poor operational security and overestimation of its influence within targeted countries. This led to the exposure and thwarting of their plans by domestic security agencies.

In response to the setback, Russia is reportedly revamping its irregular warfare capabilities and leveraging the Russian mafia and Russian students to build support networks for European agents. This shift comes as Russia seeks to seize opportunities and create crises beyond its borders, particularly in the Balkans, to disrupt Western influence.

Expanding

In Africa and the Middle East, Russian state-run mercenaries, especially those from groups like Wagner, actively participate in supporting dictators and warlords and advancing Russia’s interests against rival factions and Islamic rebel groups. Since the death of Wagner Group leader Evgeny Prigozhin, Russia has continued to offer what RUSI calls “regime survival packages” to clients, deepening their dependence on Russian support.

RUSI’s analysis shows that countering Russian disinformation is important, but more importantly, disrupting Russia’s ability to manipulate political elites and Russia’s logistical support for these operations. It suggests. This requires a strategic, intelligence-driven approach to avoid the pitfalls of overreaction and keep the focus on concrete threats rather than speculative dangers, the Inside report says. There is.

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