Best-case scenario in the Middle East, Apple iPhone sales down 10%, Tesla to cut 10% of jobs – Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL)

Here’s what you need to know today to get the edge.

Relaxation of financial situation

Click here for larger view crude oil futures.

Please note the following:

• Oil is the most sensitive to developments in the Middle East.
• This graph shows that oil is falling after Iran’s attack on Israel.
• This chart shows that crude oil is consolidating around the upper trend line.
• The best scenario of all is for it to unfold in the Middle East.
  • Although there are conflicting reports, it is almost certain that Iran notified Turkey and Turkey gave advance notice of the attack on Iran.
  • Iran notified the United States in advance because Iran’s purpose was to show off its force and save face without causing much damage, and for the United States to keep Israel in check.
  • With this advance notice, the US and Israel were able to shoot down 99% of the approximately 300 drones and missiles, causing almost no damage.
  • Iran has issued multiple statements saying the operation has ended.
  • Biden is working hard to rein in Israel.
  • Stocks are being bought aggressively not only because of low oil prices but also because the best-case scenario for the Middle East is unfolding.
• The Arora Report’s analysis shows that an Iranian response that directly attacks Israel increases risks in the long term, especially in the absence of a strong Israeli response.
• Furthermore, the Arora report analysis shows that Iran is buying time to build up its nuclear capabilities.
• The momo crowd is in a celebratory mood, so they are oblivious to some of the negative developments outlined below.
  • A leading market research firm predicts: Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) iPhone shipments fell about 10% last quarter. According to this report, Apple shipped 50.1 million iPhones. The consensus of Wall Street analysts is that iPhones are his 51.7 million units. This was the worst decline in Apple iPhone shipments since the coronavirus lockdown.
  • Full disclosure, Apple is included in Arora Report’s ZYX Buy Model portfolio and is long from $4.68. Arora’s call so far has been to hedge his position in Apple. Keep an eye on plans for hedging and potential changes in the buy zone.
  • tesla company (NASDAQ:TSLA) will lay off 10% of its employees. At the same time, Tesla will reduce the price of its Full Self-Driving subscription from $199 to $99. According to Arora Report’s analysis, this is a great move by Mr. Musk.
• New economic data shows good news for the economy but bad news for the peach crowd. After a brief hiatus, American consumers are back to spending. Smart investors focus on retail sales because the US economy is 70% consumer based. Here are the details:
  • Main retail sales were 0.7% versus consensus 0.4%.
  • Consensus for retail sales excluding autos was 1.1% versus 0.5%.
• The Arora Report’s analysis says that it is important that financial conditions do not become too accommodative in order to contain inflation. The root cause of the overly accommodative financial environment lies with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. This issue is so important that we are starting to produce a podcast on the subject. Mr. Powell is doing his best to bone his jaw and ease his financial situation when the data clearly shows he needs to tighten it. Conservative analysts have concluded that Mr. Powell is taking this action to help Mr. Biden’s re-election bid. President Trump has said he will not reappoint Powell.
• He says he is completely opposed to cutting rates if retail sales continue to be strong. The Arora Report’s analysis shows that the data so far suggests that even rate hikes should be on the table. None of this is good for the stock market. However, please note that the stock market is controlled by momo cloud and momo cloud does not perform deep analysis.

7 epic money flows

In early trades, the flow of funds will be positive. Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:GOOG), Meta Platforms Co., Ltd. (NASDAQ:Meta), Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT), and Nvidia Inc. (NASDAQ:NVDA).

In early trading, AAPL, TSLA’s money flow is negative.

In early trades, the flow of funds will be positive. SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:QQQ).

Momo crowd and smart money in stocks

The momo crowd is actively buying stocks in early trading. Smart money is inactive in early trades.

Money

Momo crowd is like a gold yo-yo in early trades. Smart money is inactive in early trades.

For the long term, take a look at Gold and Silver valuations.

The most popular ETFs for gold are: SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:GLD).The most popular ETFs for silver are iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:SLV).

oil

Momo crowd is selling oil in early trades. Smart money is inactive in early trades.

For long-term use, please refer to the oil rating.

The most popular oil ETFs are US Oil ETF (NYSE:USO).

Bitcoin

When news of Iran’s attack on Israel broke, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) fell like a rock. For smart Bitcoin investors, this shatters the common myth spread by Bitcoin whales to tempt retail investors that Bitcoin is a hedge against geopolitics.

What to do now with the protective band

It’s important for investors to look forward, not in the rearview mirror.

Based on your personal risk appetite, consider protection bands consisting of cash or Treasury bills, or short-term tactical trades, as well as short-to-medium-term hedges and short-term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the rise at the same time.

By adding cash to your hedge, you can determine your protective belt. High-bandwidth protection is suitable for older and conservative users. Low band protection is suitable for young and aggressive people. Without hedging, the total cash level would be higher than above, but significantly less than the cash and hedges combined.

Remember, if you don’t have enough cash, you won’t be able to take advantage of new opportunities in the future. When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non-ETFs). Consider using a wider stop on the remaining quantity to give more room to high beta stocks. High beta stocks are stocks that move more than the market.

Traditional 60/40 portfolio

Probability-based risk-reward adjusted for inflation currently does not favor long-term strategic bond allocation.

Those who want to stick with a traditional 60% equity and 40% fixed income allocation may consider focusing only on high-quality bonds and bonds with a duration of 7 years or less. Those looking to add sophistication to their investments may consider using fixed income ETFs for tactical rather than strategic positions at this time.

Arora Reports is known for its accurate calls. Arora Report predicts the big rally in artificial intelligence before anyone else, a new bull market in 2023, a bear market in 2022, new highs in the stock market immediately after the virus infection, lows in 2020, virus in 2020 The fall of the DJIA is correctly called that the rally reached 30,000 people. When it was trading at 16,000, at the beginning of the huge bull market in 2009, and then during the financial collapse of 2008. Click here to sign up for the forever free Generate Wealth newsletter.

This article was contributed by an unpaid external contributor. This does not represent Benzinga’s reporting and has not been edited for content or accuracy.