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I am writing this letter from Israel, which is preparing for a wave of drone attacks from Iran tonight.
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) warned that at least 100 drones had been fired at around 11 p.m. Following this, Iran’s state news agency also announced that a ballistic missile had been fired.
Israel has been anticipating an Iranian attack ever since April 1, when it carried out an airstrike that killed Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commanders in Damascus.
Since then, life has continued almost as normal, although there has been some unrest on the streets, but tonight the IDF updated its instructions to the public on necessary precautions.
Meanwhile, the Israel Defense Forces has been strengthening its air defense system for the past 10 days, including calling in specialized reservists. Israel has the best anti-missile defenses in the world and will do its best to shoot down most or all weapons before they reach Israeli airspace. But achieving that will not be easy, as swarms of drones will often be outpaced or pursued by missiles.
The commander of U.S. forces in the Middle East has been visiting Israel in recent days and coordinating with the Israel Defense Forces, and the U.S. military plans to provide airborne early warning systems and other assistance to intercept Israeli drones. Other allies of Israel may also provide assistance, and the Israeli prime minister particularly thanked Britain and France for their support.
There is also a significant threat from Lebanon, where Iran’s proxy Hezbollah has fired an estimated 150,000 rockets and missiles toward Israel. Since the October 7 Hamas attack, Hezbollah has continued to fire rockets and drones into areas bordering Israel almost every day. Hezbollah may launch a barrage of artillery in conjunction with the arrival of Iranian weapons in an effort to overwhelm its air defenses. .
Israel has been preparing
Israel, like any country, has no choice but to respond to this Iranian attack. Of course, the Israel Defense Forces are also preparing, and will likely attack military targets in Iran and other countries where missiles and drones are launched.
The Biden administration is likely to try to pressure Israel to limit its retaliation, or in other words de-escalate tensions, as the United States sought to deter Iran from attacking Israel through intensive diplomatic efforts. But even if this attack inflicts limited damage, Israel should probably launch a stronger attack to deter further attacks.
Although direct hostilities with Iran are unlikely to escalate beyond airstrikes and maritime conflicts, a major attack by Hezbollah could well lead to an all-out war in Lebanon, which began in October. be.
This latest development in the Middle East shows that this is not just a conflict between Israelis and Palestinians. The war in Gaza was started by Hamas and Islamic Jihad, both proxies of Iran, and since its beginning, Tehran’s proxies in Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, Iraq and the West Bank have also participated in attacks against Israel. Ta.
The Ayatollahs have long declared their intention to eradicate the Jewish state, and have built a proxy “ring of fire” around Israel to accomplish that goal, as well as working on a nuclear weapons program.
No matter how this conflict unfolds, Israel’s allies, including the United States and the United Kingdom, must do whatever it takes to strongly support their key allies in the Middle East, including military action if necessary. Must be. Failure to do so would increase the likelihood of conflict escalating in the region.
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