[ad_1]
We ran 100,000 simulations of the 2024 season through our model. The result is… In some ways this is not surprising. But it’s cool! According to our system, there will be an Astros/Dodgers World Series, and the West Coast will have a big presence in the American League and National League playoffs. Let’s all have a fun time!
Below are the expected win-loss records for all 30 MLB teams. This was used to create rankings for each division. From there, they seeded six teams for the playoffs, with the team with the best chance advancing to the next round.
american league
Forecast for eastern Alabama
| team | victory | loss | playoff chance | Division winner | winning pennant | win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
89 |
73 |
74.3% |
38.4% |
15.6% |
7.6% |
|
|
86 |
76 |
59.5% |
22.8% |
10.2% |
4.6% |
|
|
86 |
76 |
56.3% |
20.5% |
9.4% |
4.2% |
|
|
83 |
79 |
38.7% |
10.7% |
5.4% |
2.3% |
|
|
82 |
80 |
30.9% |
7.6% |
3.9% |
1.6% |
AL central projection
| team | victory | loss | playoff chance | Division winner | winning pennant | win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
84 |
78 |
60.2% |
53.3% |
9.3% |
3.8% |
|
|
78 |
84 |
21.9% |
16.2% |
2.4% |
0.8% |
|
|
78 |
84 |
21.4% |
15.7% |
2.3% |
0.8% |
|
|
78 |
84 |
19.7% |
14.5% |
2.2% |
0.7% |
|
|
64 |
98 |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Forecast for western Alabama
| team | victory | loss | playoff chance | Division winner | winning pennant | win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
89 |
73 |
76.3% |
43.2% |
16.1% |
7.7% |
|
|
87 |
75 |
66.2% |
29.9% |
11.9% |
5.4% |
|
|
86 |
76 |
59.2% |
23.8% |
9.8% |
4.4% |
|
|
78 |
84 |
15.1% |
3.1% |
1.6% |
0.6% |
|
|
66 |
96 |
0.3% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
play off
- Hou
- new york
- minimum
- tex
- bar
- Ocean
Wildcard
Al’s
Arcus
national league
National League East predictions
| team | victory | loss | playoff chance | Division winner | winning pennant | win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
95 |
67 |
96.4% |
80.2% |
27.1% |
16.8% |
|
|
86 |
76 |
65.0% |
14.4% |
8.6% |
4.4% |
|
|
80 |
82 |
27.9% |
3.1% |
2.6% |
1.1% |
|
|
79 |
83 |
22.2% |
2.3% |
1.9% |
0.8% |
|
|
68 |
94 |
0.9% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Forecast for central Netherlands
| team | victory | loss | playoff chance | Division winner | winning pennant | win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
83 |
79 |
51.4% |
38.4% |
5.5% |
2.4% |
|
|
81 |
81 |
35.7% |
23.6% |
3.2% |
1.4% |
|
|
81 |
81 |
33.9% |
22.0% |
3.0% |
1.3% |
|
|
78 |
84 |
19.9% |
11.8% |
1.5% |
0.6% |
|
|
74 |
88 |
7.8% |
4.2% |
0.5% |
0.2% |
Forecast for western Narari region
| team | victory | loss | playoff chance | Division winner | winning pennant | win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
97 |
65 |
97.8% |
82.5% |
30.3% |
19.2% |
|
|
86 |
76 |
63.1% |
10.1% |
7.8% |
3.9% |
|
|
83 |
79 |
45.1% |
4.6% |
4.8% |
2.2% |
|
|
81 |
81 |
33.0% |
2.8% |
3.1% |
1.3% |
|
|
64 |
98 |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
play off:
- youth
- ATL
- STL
- Phi
- SFG
- SDP
Wildcard
NLDS
NLCS
world series
Dodgers beat Astros
(Top photo: Daniel Shirey/MLB Photos via Getty Images, Steph Chambers/Getty Images, Jason Armond / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images; gif via GIPHY)
[ad_2]
Source link
